Analysis: Fossil-fuel CO2 emissions set to dip in 2026 as Iran conflict hits oil use
Global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels are projected to dip slightly in 2026 due to oil supply disruptions caused by the Iran conflict. However, total emissions including land-use changes are expected to hit a record high.
Why it matters
The data illustrates the complex interplay between geopolitical conflict, energy demand, and the ongoing challenge of climate change mitigation.
Share Article Contents Expand menu Close Total emissions edge up as land-use emissions rise Land-use emissions rise in 2026 Fossil emissions fall in most major economies Oil emissions fall as coal emissions slightly increase Land sink in 2025 is highest on record Clean energy is offsetting most emissions from rising energy demand Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuels and cement are projected to fall by around 0.4% in 2026 to 38.2bn tonnes of CO2 (GtCO2), according to new figures from the Global Carbon Project .
Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuels and cement are projected to fall by around 0.4% in 2026 to 38.2bn tonnes of CO2 (GtCO2), according to new figures from the Global Carbon Project .
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