Wicked surprise: On the northeast monsoon
The article discusses the unpredictability of India's northeast monsoon, noting that it is often less precise in forecasting than the southwest monsoon. It highlights the risks posed by El Niño, which can lead to extreme weather events and economic strain.
Why it matters
Accurate monsoon forecasting is vital for India's agricultural sector and food security, especially given the increasing frequency of climate-related anomalies.
Wicked surprise: On the northeast monsoon The northeast monsoon is more unpredictable, and the south must be wary As India recovers from a monsoon-deficit year, there is both hope and trepidation regarding the prospects for that ‘other monsoon’, or the ‘northeast monsoon’. While contributing only around a quarter of India’s annual rainfall, it is largely focused on the south-east peninsula regions of Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, south interior Karnataka and Keralam. The southwest monsoon, influenced by a strengthening El Niño, has already left its desiccating mark. Rainfall from June-September was 759.4 mm against 868.6 mm, a 12.6% deficit, the driest in 11 years. This has impacted kharif sowing and is reflected in food inflation.
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