Why Fano should form alliances : The Strategic Case for Pragmatic Cooperation

This analysis argues that the Fano movement in Ethiopia should consider pragmatic alliances with rivals to achieve strategic goals and shorten the ongoing conflict. It suggests that avoiding partnerships due to fears of manipulation may lead to counterproductive isolation.
Why it matters
The piece provides a strategic perspective on the Ethiopian civil conflict, emphasizing the necessity of political maneuvering for insurgent groups.
Alliances and cooperation—during both war and peace—are not limited to friends. Rivals may also cooperate because of ideological compatibility, practical necessity, overlapping interests, or the temporary need to confront a more immediate threat. Fano should therefore assess potential partnerships according to their purpose: some may serve limited, short-term objectives, while others may support broader strategic goals. The purpose of any such cooperation should be to reduce harm, shorten the conflict, conserve resources, and accelerate the achievement of clearly defined political objectives.
Fano’s experience over the past three years suggests that it has developed more than battlefield capability. Despite operating under extreme pressure, including attacks by ground forces and airpower, it has demonstrated an ability to organize, adapt, and sustain itself. Nevertheless, some commentators argue that Fano is still too young and institutionally immature to enter an alliance with an experienced organization such as the TPLF without being manipulated or weakened.
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