Fortune·4 min read·hard

White House ups pressure on Kevin Warsh's Fed as Wall Street expects hike - Fortune

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Eleanor Pringle
White House ups pressure on Kevin Warsh's Fed as Wall Street expects hike - Fortune
AI Summary

Wall Street investors are increasingly betting on a Federal Reserve interest rate hike following strong U.S. employment data. Despite inflation remaining above the 2% target, the Fed faces pressure to balance economic growth with price stability.

Why it matters

Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve significantly impact borrowing costs, market volatility, and the broader U.S. economic outlook.

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Surprisingly healthy employment data has tipped expectations for a rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) meeting higher this week, with interest rate traders now placing the likelihood at 58.4%.

According to CME’s FedWatch , nearly 60% of investors are betting on a 25bps hike to 3.75% to 4%, with the remainder of bettors suggesting the Kevin Warsh-led central bank will instead announce a hold.

The renewed call for a hike comes courtesy of a Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report Friday , which showed that the U.S. economy added 162,000 jobs in August with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1%.

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