ACLED·3 min read·hard

What is the main reason Eritrean forces crossed the border to fight within Ethiopia’s Tigray region?

What is the main reason Eritrean forces crossed the border to fight within Ethiopia’s Tigray region?
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Eritrean forces have crossed into Ethiopia's Tigray region, prompting military responses from Ethiopian drones. Analysts suggest Eritrea is acting to weaken the Ethiopian government and prevent the loss of strategic buffer zones.

Why it matters

The movement of troops threatens the stability of the Pretoria agreement and risks reigniting a major regional conflict in the Horn of Africa.

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Eritrean forces have crossed into Ethiopia's Tigray region, with Ethiopian military drones targeting Eritrean troops as they moved toward Idaga Hamus, according to ACLED's Dr. Jalale Getachew Birru.

ACLED's East Africa analyst, Dr. Jalale Getachew Birru said:

"On 7 October, Eritrean forces crossed the border at Zelambesa and moved toward the Adigrat-Idaga Hamus route. Ethiopian National Defense Forces (ENDF) drones targeted Eritrean troops at Guada as they traveled by vehicle toward Idaga Hamus. According to ACLED data, Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) are heavily present in Atsbi woreda and Kilte Awlaelo woreda near Wukro, in Idaga Hamus, and Adigrat within the Eastern Tigray zone. Many leaders of the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) are located in the rural areas of Ahferom woreda in the Central Tigray zone, which borders the Eastern zone.

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