Business Insider·3 min read·medium

Walmart sees current diesel prices wiping out $2.9 billion tariff refund by end of 2027, Deutsche Bank says.

Walmart sees current diesel prices wiping out $2.9 billion tariff refund by end of 2027, Deutsche Bank says.
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Walmart expects rising diesel costs to offset its $2.9 billion tariff refund, potentially leading to higher consumer prices by 2027. Deutsche Bank analysts suggest that fuel-related inflation could add up to a full percentage point to the retailer's costs.

Why it matters

As a bellwether for the retail industry, Walmart's struggle with fuel costs indicates that broader inflationary pressures may persist despite government tariff relief efforts.

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Walmart is expecting up to an additional percentage point of inflation due to fuel costs in 2027, according to Deutsche Bank. David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images Walmart is bracing for billions of dollars in additional fuel costs due to higher diesel prices. The company previously said it would put much of its $2.9 billion tariff refund toward lower prices. Now, higher fuel costs are likely to erase that benefit, and other retailers are likely to follow. Just when US shoppers might have thought they dodged the tariff jab, energy costs are coming in with the right hook. Deutsche Bank says Walmart executives are now expecting the added cost of higher diesel prices to wipe out their total expected benefit from tariff refunds and push prices back up, according to a Thursday analyst note following a meeting with Walmart CFO John David Rainey.

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