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The Guardian·3 min read·medium

UK faces ‘very difficult trade-offs’ in budget because of Iran war, say analysts

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Phillip Inman
UK faces ‘very difficult trade-offs’ in budget because of Iran war, say analysts
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Analysts from NIESR warn that the UK government faces a difficult budget due to rising inflation and oil prices linked to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The think tank suggests that the Prime Minister will struggle to maintain public services without significant fiscal adjustments.

Why it matters

It illustrates how geopolitical instability in the Middle East directly impacts the domestic economic stability and policy options of the UK government.

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Ships anchored in the strait of Hormuz off Iran on Monday. The on-off closure of the waterway has pushed up oil prices, putting pressure on inflation. Ships anchored in the strait of Hormuz off Iran on Monday. The on-off closure of the waterway has pushed up oil prices, putting pressure on inflation. Business UK faces ‘very difficult trade-offs’ in budget because of Iran war, say analysts Leading thinktank says higher oil prices and inflation will give Andy Burnham a ‘challenging inheritance’

Prefer the Guardian on Google Andy Burnham has been warned by a leading thinktank of “very difficult trade-offs in the next autumn budget” if the Iran war keeps oil prices and inflation high.

The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said the new prime minister faced a “challenging inheritance” and his plans to revamp public services would meet severe pressure from persistently higher prices.

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