Traders on Kalshi think the Nasdaq-100 will end 2026 above 30,000
Traders on the prediction market Kalshi are expressing skepticism about the Nasdaq-100's ability to significantly exceed the 30,000-point mark by the end of 2026. Despite a strong first half driven by AI-related growth, market sentiment suggests the bull run may be cooling as investors look toward other sectors.
Why it matters
This reflects shifting investor confidence in the sustainability of the AI-led tech rally and provides a unique look at how prediction markets quantify market uncertainty.
The Nasdaq-100 is up about 18% in 2026, but traders on prediction market platform Kalshi don't think the index will move much higher in the second half of 2026.
The article reports on market data and analyst sentiment without taking a stance on the index's future performance.
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