Strategy sold bitcoin in late May, and told the market in June. Here's how Polymarket bettors are fighting over when it counts.

Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Strategy sold bitcoin in late May, and told the market in June. Here s how Polymarket bettors are fighting over when it counts. A $79 million market hinges not on whether Michael Saylor s firm sold bitcoin, but on whether a sale disclosed June 1 can count toward a deadline that passed May 31. By Sam Reynolds , AI Boost | Edited by Shaurya Malwa Jun 2, 2026, 5:00 a.m. 4 min read Make preferred on What to know : A $79 million Polymarket bet on whether Strategy (MSTR) sold bitcoin by May 31 hinges on whether the contract is governed by the date of the sale itself or the later date of its public disclosure. One camp argues the market is event-based and should resolve “Yes” because Strategy’s own filing dates the 32 BTC sale inside the window, while another insists only information knowable by the May 31 deadline counts and therefore the market must resolve “No.” A smaller group says the rules were too vague to resolve at all, even as Polymarket has since endorsed the “No” interpretation, leaving the final decision to UMA token holders, who have previously diverged from the platform. The Polymarket contract asked a simple question: did Strategy (MSTR) sell any bitcoin by May 31? The company s filing says it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and 31 . The filing came out June 1. That gap has split bettors into a $79 million fight over whether a sale counts when it happens, or when it s confirmed.