Special DemosAU poll has Labor well short of a parliamentary majority
A new DemosAU poll indicates that the Australian Labor Party is currently trailing, with insufficient support to secure a parliamentary majority. The data suggests a potential shift in power toward One Nation and the Coalition.
Why it matters
Polling data is critical for understanding shifting voter sentiment and the potential for a change in government leadership.
Mick Tsikas/AAP Special DemosAU poll has Labor well short of a parliamentary majority Published: July 26, 2026 10:27pm EDT https://theconversation.com/special-demosau-poll-has-labor-well-short-of-a-parliamentary-majority-287867 https://theconversation.com/special-demosau-poll-has-labor-well-short-of-a-parliamentary-majority-287867 Link copied Share article Share article
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A special DemosAU poll has Labor winning 68 of the 150 House of Representatives seats, well short of the 76 needed for a majority. One Nation is on 60 seats, the Coalition 13, the Greens three and Others six.
In last week’s Morgan poll, One Nation was down 5.5 points to 22.5%. Morgan has recently been volatile regarding One Nation’s vote.
Federal redistributions have been finalised in three states and territories, and there are polls of New South Wales and the ACT.
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