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CoinDesk·3 min read·medium

September Fed interest-rate increase is 'very unlikely,' Goldman Sachs says

O
Omkar Godbole
September Fed interest-rate increase is 'very unlikely,' Goldman Sachs says
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Goldman Sachs has lowered the probability of a September Federal Reserve interest-rate hike due to cooling inflation and soft economic data. This shift in expectations is viewed as a potential tailwind for Bitcoin, which has been trading in a narrow range.

Why it matters

Interest rate policy is a primary driver for liquidity in risk-on asset classes like cryptocurrency.

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That's how Goldman Sachs described the chances of a September Federal Reserve interest-rate increase, which provides a potential major tailwind for bitcoin BTC $ 63,580.80 , which has traded in a narrow range since early July.

The cryptocurrency is currently priced around $63,500, a 1% gain since midnight UTC. The price has remained firmly locked within the $62,000–$66,000 range that has been in play for over a month.

Goldman lowered the odds in response to a string of soft economic data, specifically retail sales, a key barometer of consumption, and employment figures alongside slowing inflation, Chief Economist Jan Hatzius told clients, according to Bloomberg .

"Under our baseline economic forecasts, the inflation news is more likely to improve further than to deteriorate anew as the year progresses," Hatzius wrote in a note Sunday. "We still think market pricing for the funds rate is too hawkish."

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