Prediction markets get first U.S. rule proposal as CFTC pursues contract reviews
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has proposed its first set of regulations for prediction markets. The move aims to establish a transparent framework for evaluating whether these contracts serve the public interest.
Why it matters
As prediction markets for sports and politics grow in popularity, this regulatory step is crucial for balancing market innovation with federal oversight.
Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Prediction markets get first U.S. rule proposal as CFTC pursues contract reviews The Commodity Futures Trading Commission opened a proposed rule for public comment that sets an approach to determine contracts in the "public interest." By Jesse Hamilton | Edited by Nikhilesh De Jun 10, 2026, 1:58 p.m. 2 min read Make preferred on U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Mike Selig has proposed the first prediction markets regulation. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk) What to know : The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has issued its first notice of proposed rulemaking on prediction markets, suggesting a system by which it can review whether contracts are in the public interest. The CFTC is seeking to carve a clear regulatory position to back the ongoing growth of the industry, which has drawn increased attention for its popular sports and political betting. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposed its first prediction markets regulation on Wednesday, pitching an approach to how it can make widespread evaluations of whether contracts trip the federal standard for what s off-limits.
The article provides a neutral overview of a regulatory proposal and quotes the agency head's stated goals.
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