Prediction market traders bet bitcoin's selloff has further to run

Prediction market traders are increasingly betting that Bitcoin's price will continue to fall, with significant probabilities assigned to the asset dropping below $55,000 or even $50,000 by year-end. This bearish sentiment is driven by institutional outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and a shift in investor interest toward AI-related stocks.
Why it matters
Market sentiment in crypto reflects broader shifts in institutional capital allocation and investor risk appetite.
Share Share this article Copy link X icon X (Twitter) LinkedIn Facebook Email Prediction market traders bet bitcoin s selloff has further to run Markets now imply a 66% chance bitcoin falls below $55,000 and a coin-flip chance of sub-$50,000 prices before year-end. By Sam Reynolds | Edited by Omkar Godbole Jun 3, 2026, 6:23 a.m. 2 min read Make preferred on (Unsplash/mana5280) What to know : Prediction market traders see a strong chance chance that bitcoin falls below $55,000 this year, with meaningful odds it could drop under $40,000. Heavy outflows from U.S. bitcoin ETFs and investors’ growing preference for high-flying AI stocks are pressuring bitcoin, which has slumped toward $65,000. While traders are increasingly bearish on bitcoin’s near-term performance versus assets like gold, money is shifting into stablecoins such as USDT and USDC rather than leaving crypto altogether. Prediction market traders are increasingly wagering that bitcoin s correction is far from over, even after the cryptocurrency tumbled toward $65,000 this week amid mounting pressure from ETF outflows and weakening institutional demand.
The article reports on market data and trader sentiment without taking a position on the future of the asset.
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