Hacker News·4 min read·medium

Prediction: AI Will Collapse

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Prediction: AI Will Collapse
AI Summary

The author argues that AI may follow a path similar to the dot-com bubble, where initial high expectations for complex technology give way to simpler, more accessible forms of distribution. The piece suggests that just as the internet 'collapsed' into social media and video, AI might evolve into more limited but highly popular formats.

Why it matters

This perspective challenges the current hype cycle surrounding AI, suggesting that the most successful applications will be those that prioritize ease of use over technical complexity.

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@wordgrammer Prediction: AI will collapse The dot com bubble got some things right. It noticed that the internet was going to be big. It noticed that the value generated by the internet would roughly scale in proportion with the amount of fiber laid. It recognized a latent need in all humans to use technology for self-expression.

First: it thought that html and javascript were the means by which common people would express themselves. The dot com bubble thought everyone would have a website. As it turns out, normal people prefer expressing themselves with text, images, and video.

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