Poll: Center holds key to elections, with most Israelis knowing who they'll vote
A new poll from the Jewish People Policy Institute indicates that most Israeli voters have already decided on their party, with the political center holding the most undecided voters. The data shows a continued shift toward the right among Jewish Israelis and increased political organization among Arab respondents.
Why it matters
Understanding voter certainty and ideological shifts is critical for predicting the outcome of the upcoming Israeli elections.
Most Israelis already know, at least to a large extent, which party they will vote for in the upcoming election, but the group of undecided voters that could determine the outcome is concentrated primarily in the political center, according to the Jewish People Policy Institute's Israeli Society Index, published ahead of the election expected in the fall.According to the index, 53% of Israelis are completely certain whom they will vote for, while another 29% are fairly certain of their decision. Some 14% are still waiting for the political map to become clearer, and 4% say they will not vote.Certainty is particularly high at the political extremes. On the Left, 71% are already completely certain of their choice, compared with 58% on the Right. The proportion of undecided voters rises closer to the center.
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