Poland warns Russia planning drone or rocket strikes on NATO territory, says attacks will be called ‘accidental’

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Russia is planning "accidental" drone or rocket strikes on NATO territory to weaken the alliance's resolve to defend member states. He stated that Russia aims to disrupt supply lines to Ukraine, citing recent incidents at border crossings and intelligence from NATO, Ukrainian, and U.S. secret services. Tusk believes Russia is not ready for peace talks and expects Ukraine's "total capitulation" after winter.
Why it matters
This warning highlights escalating tensions between Russia and NATO, suggesting a potential new phase of hybrid warfare that could test NATO's Article 5 and international stability. It also underscores the strategic importance of supply lines to Ukraine, especially heading into winter.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned on Thursday (September 17, 2026) that Russia is planning hybrid strikes with drones or rockets on European countries supporting Ukraine, among them Poland.
Russia will pretend the attacks are “accidental” in order to “paralyze or at least weaken the motivation of NATO countries" to rush to the defence of the member state coming under attack, Mr. Tusk said in a speech to the Polish Parliament.
“There is a real risk that drones or other types of projectiles will enter the territory of one or several countries on the eastern flank and even cause destruction," PM Tusk warned.
“The official narration will be that it's an accident and there is no reason for NATO to think about a response,” he added.
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