One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government?
The rise of the One Nation party in Australian polls has created uncertainty for the upcoming federal election. While the party is gaining support in regional areas, analysts suggest it faces significant hurdles in winning government due to poor performance in urban electorates.
Why it matters
Understanding the electoral viability of populist parties is crucial for predicting shifts in national governance and coalition dynamics.
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation will likely have to win three-quarters of the upper house seats in outer metropolitan and rural and regional areas to attain government, a pollster says. Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP Pauline Hanson’s One Nation will likely have to win three-quarters of the upper house seats in outer metropolitan and rural and regional areas to attain government, a pollster says. Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP The Crunch Australian politics One Nation’s rise puts the next election in ‘unknown territory’ – but does Pauline Hanson really have a path to government? Data shows the rightwing party faces an obstacle in the form of urban seats – and the effect of preference flows is harder to predict
The framing focuses on the 'obstacle' of urban seats and the 'unknown territory' created by a right-wing populist party, which is a common narrative in mainstream liberal-leaning media.
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