Obi-Kwankwaso ticket has 70% chance in 2027

Babachir Lawal, a former government official, claims that a joint presidential ticket of Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso would have a 70% chance of winning the 2027 Nigerian election. He dismissed the chances of other candidates, including President Bola Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar.
Why it matters
Provides insight into shifting political alliances and electoral speculation ahead of the 2027 Nigerian presidential race.
Former Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Babachir Lawal, has said a joint presidential ticket of Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso has a stronger chance of winning the 2027 presidential election than if both politicians had chosen to contest separately. Lawal made the remarks during an interview with Symfoni TV released on Saturday. According to him, an Obi-Kwankwaso ticket would stand a 70 per cent chance of victory, while he predicted that President Bola Tinubu would have a 50 per cent chance and former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar would lose. “Peter Obi will try to be fair to everybody. Peter Obi will try to do that which is right. Peter Obi, Kwankwaso, take note, I’m pairing them. I’m pairing them. Individually will be disaster, but I’m pairing them. “So I’ll give them, on my own scale, close to like 70 per cent. Again, Bola, 50. Atiku, zero,” Lawal said.
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