NJAU: Why Ruto's defeat in Ol Kalou could reshape Mt Kenya politics

The defeat of President William Ruto's UDA party in the Ol Kalou by-election is being analyzed as a significant shift in Mt Kenya's political landscape. Analysts suggest the loss reflects a battle for political perception and momentum between the President and former deputy Rigathi Gachagua.
Why it matters
This by-election result serves as a bellwether for political alliances and voter sentiment in Kenya ahead of the 2027 general elections.
Residents of Ol Kalou at a UDA rally ahead of the July 16 by-election, which DCP won /FILE The loss by President William Ruto's UDA party of the parliamentary seat in the Ol Kal o u by-election was more than the loss of a single MP and has wider implications for the Mountain’s political terrain.
The by-election on Thursday last week had evolved into a symbolic battle between President Ruto and former deputy Rigathi Gachagua, after months of bitter rivalry following their falling out and the DP’s impeachment.
Political analysts say that for the President, victory would have helped reinforce the narrative that he still commands significant support in Mt Kenya despite Gachagua's exit from government.
Instead, the outcome in one part of the m ountain has emboldened the DCP leader’s camp while prompting analysis and soul-searching within UDA.
Get smarter about the news
Sign up free for a feed built around what you actually care about, Dive Deeper research on any story, and the full text of every article.
Create free accountAlready have an account? Sign in