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The Atlantic·5 min read·medium

NATO’s Nightmare

S
Simon Shuster
NATO’s Nightmare
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Military experts and NATO strategists express concern over the lack of preparation for a potential simultaneous two-front conflict involving Russia and China. Despite the growing military cooperation between these nations, Western defense planning remains largely uncoordinated for such a scenario.

Why it matters

It underscores a critical vulnerability in global security architecture that could lead to catastrophic failure in a synchronized multi-theater conflict.

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The U.S. and Europe have no clear plan for a joint attack from Russia and China.

Xie Huanchi / Xinhua Handout / Getty August 17, 2026, 7 AM ET Share Save W estern military planners do not seem eager to talk about their nightmare scenario, much less prepare for it. But they tend to agree on how it would begin: a coordinated, near-simultaneous attack on opposite sides of the planet, in which Russia targets a NATO member in Eastern Europe while China makes its move against Taiwan. The U.S. military would need to react on two fronts at once—three if it remains at war in the Middle East.

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