Monsoon's date with Kerala postponed again: IMD model predicts new timeline

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has delayed its forecast for the monsoon's arrival in Kerala, citing unfavorable wind patterns. The onset is now expected to be weak, with full seasonal rainfall building gradually after June 5-6.
Why it matters
The monsoon is the primary driver of India's agricultural output and water security, making accurate forecasting vital for the economy.
Share Advertisement An image of a person standing at a Metro station on a rainy evening. (Representational Photo: Unsplash) India Today Science Desk New Delhi , UPDATED: Jun 2, 2026 17:40 IST Latest runs of the India Meteorological Department’s weather model indicate that strong upper-level winds essential for a robust monsoon are likely to establish over South India only after June 5-6.
The article reports on scientific data and meteorological forecasts without bias.
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