Al Jazeera·3 min read·medium

Middle East oil exports surpass pre-war levels despite tensions, data shows

Middle East oil exports surpass pre-war levels despite tensions, data shows
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Middle East crude oil exports have risen above pre-war levels despite ongoing regional tensions and claims by IRGC commanders. Data from Kpler indicates that export volumes reached up to 22.5 million barrels per day in late September.

Why it matters

The data challenges narratives regarding the impact of regional conflict on global energy supply chains and maritime security.

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IRGC commander says oil flows through US-supervised route in Hormuz are ‘negligible’.

x whatsapp-stroke copylink google Add Al Jazeera on Google info Ships anchored off the coast of Khasab in Oman, near the Strait of Hormuz, on October 2, 2026 [AFP] By Reuters Published On 5 Oct 2026 5 Oct 2026 Crude oil exports from the Middle East have risen above pre-war levels on four of the seven days in the last week of September, provisional data from ship-tracking firm Kpler showed.

However, senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander Ali Fadavi said in a televised interview on Sunday night that only three to four million barrels of oil per day (bpd) are now moving through the route, dismissing the amount as “negligible” when compared with pre-war traffic.

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