Meta considered buying Kalshi before developing its own prediction market app

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg previously considered acquiring the prediction market platform Kalshi before deciding to develop an internal app called Arena. Unlike real-money prediction markets, Meta's app will use 'play money' and rely on AI to determine outcomes.
Why it matters
Meta's entry into the prediction market space highlights the growing mainstream interest in forecasting platforms and the company's strategy to leverage AI for user engagement.
Before Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg directed employees to build a standalone prediction market app, he proposed buying Kalshi, the leading company in the prediction market sector, according to three people with knowledge of the discussions who were not authorized to speak publicly.
The article reports on corporate strategy and internal discussions using multiple sources without favoring Meta or its competitors.
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