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Times of India·4 min read·medium

How geopolitics and RBI are shaping Rupee ahead of MPC

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How geopolitics and RBI are shaping Rupee ahead of MPC
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Financial analysts suggest the Indian Rupee is entering a period of stability despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and crude oil price fluctuations. Experts believe the RBI will focus on managing volatility rather than defending a specific exchange rate ahead of the upcoming MPC meeting.

Why it matters

The stability of the Rupee is critical for India's inflation control and current account deficit management in a volatile global energy market.

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Rupee has spent months reacting to every twist in the Middle East conflict and every jump in global crude oil prices. But analysts now believe that the currency could be entering a more stable phase, with no sharp depreciation expected ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in August. Instead, they see the currency continuing to move in line with global crude oil prices while trading within a broadly stable range.Economists and market experts told ANI that fluctuations in global crude oil prices remain the biggest influence on the rupee.

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