Hotter, drier season ahead for Namibia from October 2026 to March 2027
Namibia is bracing for a hotter and drier-than-normal rainfall season from October 2026 to March 2027 due to intensifying El Niño conditions. Meteorological services project significant temperature anomalies across the country, with some regions expecting temperatures up to 3°C above average.
Why it matters
Extreme weather patterns driven by El Niño pose significant risks to agriculture, water security, and public health in Southern Africa.
Namibia is expected to experience a hotter and drier-than-normal rainfall season from October 2026 to March 2027.
The Namibia Meteorological Services announced that the anticipated conditions are a result of the rapid intensification of El Niño conditions over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
“During the period from April to June 2026, sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies reached the threshold of 0.5°C, marking the onset of an active El Niño phase. SST anomalies subsequently increased to 1.0°C between May and July 2026, indicating a weak El Niño. Conditions have since intensified rapidly, with an anomaly of 1.8°C observed by the second week of August 2026,” the Namibia Meteorological Services explained.
According to the meteorological services, major global climate prediction centres unanimously project that the El Niño event will continue to strengthen in the coming months, potentially exceeding 3.0°C and reaching “very strong” status.
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