Hipkins anticipates 'close' election as National takes another poll hit

New Zealand Labour leader Chris Hipkins expects a tight election following a poll showing a decline in support for the National party. The latest data indicates a narrow path for the current coalition to return to government, with Labour remaining the largest single party.
Why it matters
The shifting poll numbers reflect voter dissatisfaction with the current opposition's campaign promises and highlight the volatility of the upcoming national election.
Labour leader Chris Hipkins is anticipating a "very, very close" election, following the release of a new poll showing another hit to National's numbers. According to the latest RNZ-Reid Research poll, if an election were held today, the coalition would narrowly return to Government with 61 seats. National sat at 28.7% with 36 seats, a fall of 2.1 points. It is the party's lowest rating in the poll since Luxon became leader. Labour was the biggest party represented on 34% – 43 seats. That's despite a fall of 1.6 points. NZ First sat at 11.5% (15 seats), its third consecutive rise in the Reid poll, the Greens at 10.3% (13 seats), and ACT at 7.8% (10 seats). Opportunity crept closer to the 5% threshold, registering 4.7%. Te Pāti Māori sat at 2.3%, with the poll anticipating it would pick up three electorate seats.
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