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Hike Odds Offset Yield Pressure — BigGo Finance

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BigGo Finance
Hike Odds Offset Yield Pressure — BigGo Finance
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Gold prices rose above $4,160 as investors lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike following weak U.S. jobs data. Despite high Treasury yields, strong physical demand from central banks and ETFs continues to support the metal's value.

Why it matters

Gold's performance serves as a key indicator of market sentiment regarding inflation, interest rates, and global economic stability.

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Add preferred source Gold rose to $4,168.89 as markets slashed the probability of an October Federal Reserve rate hike to about 21% following weak U.S. jobs data. The advance came despite Treasury yields above 5% and a strong dollar. Record ETF holdings of 4,189 tonnes and continued central-bank buying, including 22 consecutive months of purchases by China, have offset the drag from elevated rates. Gold now represents about 27% of global official reserves, surpassing U.S. Treasuries as institutions diversify away from dollar assets. Morgan Stanley has identified $4,000 as a key support level, citing strong physical demand and the prospect of lower yields. Key Elements Gold Federal Reserve Morgan Stanley World Gold Council U.S. Treasury China's central bank Exchange-traded fund Gold advanced on Monday, pushing back above $4,160 as investors recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve policy following a surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report.

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