Times of India·4 min read·medium

Gold smuggling hits 50 tonnes in India as 15% import duty widens price gap

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TOI BUSINESS DESK
Gold smuggling hits 50 tonnes in India as 15% import duty widens price gap
✦AI Summary

India's gold smuggling has surged to 50 tonnes in the September quarter following an increase in import duties to 15%. While consumer spending on gold remains resilient, high prices and tax-driven price gaps are shifting market dynamics toward unofficial channels.

Why it matters

The data illustrates how aggressive fiscal policy can inadvertently fuel black markets and undermine official trade volumes.

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India, the world’s second-largest gold market, is seeing a significant change in the way gold enters the country. The increase in import duty from 6% to 15% has made official imports more expensive, prompting a sharp rise in unofficial supplies. At the same time, record gold prices are putting pressure on consumer demand.According to a World Gold Council report, gold smuggling is estimated to have climbed to around 50 tonnes in the September quarter, compared with just three tonnes in the same period a year earlier. The surge highlights how higher import costs have had unintended consequences for the market.Gold smuggling upGold demand recovered 24% sequentially to 162 tonnes in the previous quarter, supported largely by seasonal jewellery purchases. However, demand remained 29% below its year-ago level, as high prices continued to deter many buyers.Spending patterns told a different story.

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