Germany lifts GDP forecast as economy withstands Iran war

Germany has upgraded its GDP growth forecast, citing a robust export sector and increased investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. Despite geopolitical tensions and energy price shocks, the economy is showing signs of recovery, though household consumption remains constrained by inflation.
Why it matters
Germany's economic performance is a critical indicator for the broader European economy, and the shift toward AI-related manufacturing suggests a strategic pivot in industrial focus.
Foreign trade is expected to boost Europe's biggest economy this year.Stronger exports helped prompt the German government to more than double its growth forecast for this year on Thursday, as it said the economy had withstood the energy shock caused by the Iran war and was benefiting from the global AI boom.The improved outlook could take some pressure off Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who is facing criticism that he has not done enough to kickstart the long-stagnant economy."The German economy proved more robust than projected in the spring," Economy Minister Katherina Reiche said as she announced the new forecasts."Despite geopolitical uncertainties, despite a global energy price shock, despite the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and despite tariffs, the economy was able to embark on a path of recovery," she told a press conference.Germany's economy has faced years of stagnation amid weak export demand, high energy costs, US tariffs and Chinese…
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