Fox News Poll: Texas Senate race galloping toward a photo finish

A new Fox News poll indicates a deadlocked Senate race in Texas between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton. The data shows shifting support among key demographics, including a notable swing among Hispanic voters.
Why it matters
Texas is a traditionally Republican state, and a competitive Senate race there has significant implications for the balance of power in the U.S. government.
Texas hasn’t gone blue in a statewide race in more than 30 years, but that streak could face a serious test this year. A new Fox News poll finds that while Texas likely voters favor Republicans retaining control of the U.S. Senate and give incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott an edge in his re-election bid, the Senate race remains deadlocked. The survey, released Wednesday, finds Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton tied at 49% each among Texas likely voters in the race to replace Sen. John Cornyn, who lost the GOP primary to President Trump-backed Paxton. Last month, Talarico was up by 2 points among likely voters (51%-49%). The shift to a tie reflects Paxton consolidating support among conservatives, rural voters, suburban women and voters who backed Cornyn in the primary.
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