EU moves to block retail investors from explosive boom of multibillion-dollar prediction markets

The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is moving to restrict retail access to prediction market event contracts. The regulator argues these products often function as binary options and require strict MiFID II compliance.
Why it matters
This move signals a tightening regulatory environment for the rapidly growing prediction market sector, potentially impacting platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
“This means that the marketing, distribution or sale to retail clients of event contracts that meet the definition of financial instruments is prohibited,” ESMA said in a statement.
The article objectively reports on regulatory statements and the potential impact on market participants.
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