Ethiopia’s Tigray Crisis and Rising Tensions with Eritrea
Oxford Economics is hosting a webinar to analyze the renewed conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray region and the deteriorating diplomatic relations between Addis Ababa and Asmara. The session will explore the regional implications for trade, investment, and security in the Horn of Africa.
Why it matters
The instability in the Horn of Africa poses significant risks to regional trade routes and geopolitical security, making it a critical area of concern for international investors.
The return of fighting in Ethiopia’s Tigray region has raised fears that the country could once again descend into a protracted internal conflict, with potentially far-reaching consequences for the wider Horn of Africa.
The breakdown of the fragile post-war settlement has coincided with a sharp deterioration in relations between Addis Ababa and Asmara, raising the prospect of a direct confrontation between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Beyond Tigray, competing strategic interests, shifting alliances and unresolved disputes over Red Sea access and Nile waters are deepening regional fault lines, drawing in neighbours including Somalia, Sudan and Egypt. With Ethiopia’s internal security challenges increasingly intertwined with regional rivalries, the risk of escalation extends well beyond its borders.
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