Ethiopia: Eritrean Incursions Raise Fears of a Wider Regional War in Ethiopia

Renewed conflict in Ethiopia's Tigray region has escalated following incursions by Eritrean forces, raising concerns of a wider regional war. The humanitarian situation remains dire, with millions in need of aid and fears of impending famine.
Why it matters
The potential for a regional conflict involving Eritrea and Ethiopia threatens the stability of the Horn of Africa and risks a major humanitarian catastrophe.
Addis Ababa - Three scenarios - all grim - on how the renewed conflict in Tigray could develop.
The conflict in Ethiopia's northern region of Tigray moved a step closer to triggering a wider conflagration last week when Eritrean forces crossed the border, and Ethiopia hit back with two days of drone strikes on the troops and equipment.
Eritrea denied multiple reports of the incursion, and framed Addis Ababa's condemnation as amounting to a " declaration of war " and a pretext for the landlocked country to grab the Red Sea port of Assab.
However, local sources told The New Humanitarian that Eritrean forces took part in clashes in multiple locations over the past few days, including at Adi Hageray, about 60 kilometres from the city of Shire, in northwestern Tigray.
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