Election fever: Goons, political violence worry private sector ahead of polls

The Kenyan private sector is expressing concern that political tensions and the use of 'goons' ahead of the 2027 general election could destabilize the economy. Historical data shows that election cycles often lead to business slowdowns and reduced investment.
Why it matters
Political instability in emerging markets directly impacts GDP growth and investor confidence, potentially stalling development in key sectors like tourism and manufacturing.
/AI illustrated KENYA’s increasingly aggressive political campaigns and the use of goons pose a fresh threat to the economy, with investments and a slowdown in business activities among key investor concerns.
The private sector is warning that political tension could undermine investment and key economic sectors, with tourism, transport, service sector and trade becoming the biggest casualties.
Election cycles repeatedly leave a visible imprint on the economy, from the dramatic collapse in growth after the disputed 2007 presidential election to the more measured slowdowns witnessed during the 2013, 2017 and 2022 polls.
As the country moves towards the August 2027 general election, businesses are again confronting a familiar question of how much economic damage political uncertainty will inflict on a country struggling to accelerate growth, create jobs and attract private investment.
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