El Niño expected to be ‘strongest in recent history’
Meteorologists warn that the current El Niño event is expected to be one of the strongest in recent history, bringing extreme weather patterns to New Zealand. The phenomenon is linked to increased wildfire risks in the east and flooding threats in the western South Island.
Why it matters
Understanding extreme climate patterns is critical for disaster preparedness and managing agricultural and environmental risks in affected regions.
El Niño conditions this year are likely to increase the chances of strong winds and dry conditions in eastern parts of the country.
Earth Sciences New Zealand says El Niño conditions this year are likely to peak “as one of the strongest in recent history”, increasing the chances of strong winds and dry conditions in the eastern parts of the country, and stormy weather and potential flooding in the lower western parts of the South Island.
The agency said El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific atmosphere have strengthened since mid-winter, and are expected to reach the “very strong” category in early September.
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