Early voting data shows emerging signs of a Democratic advantage in the midterms
Early voting data suggests a potential Democratic advantage in midterm ballot requests across several key states. While Democrats show higher request volumes compared to previous cycles, experts caution that this data does not predict final outcomes and may reflect shifting partisan voting preferences.
Why it matters
Early voting trends are critical indicators for political analysts attempting to gauge voter enthusiasm and turnout patterns before Election Day.
Election Day is still a month away, but more than 700,000 Americans have already voted across at least 30 states. There are signs emerging of the advantage Democrats have in motivating their voters – a trend that’s played out in polling all summer long. In several states with key Senate or governor races this fall, Democrats make up a larger share of voters requesting ballots so far than they did at this point in 2024. In Iowa, Democrats have made 67% of ballot requests, up from 54% at this point in 2024. In Pennsylvania, it’s 66%, up from 62%, and in Maine it’s 57%, up from 53%. And according to data from the North Carolina State Board of Elections, 42% of ballot requests are from Democrats, up from 36% at this point two years ago.
Get smarter about the news
Sign up free for a feed built around what you actually care about, Dive Deeper research on any story, and the full text of every article.
Create free accountAlready have an account? Sign in