ACLED·4 min read·hard

Does Ethiopia’s new caretaker administration signal the end of the Pretoria peace agreement?

Does Ethiopia’s new caretaker administration signal the end of the Pretoria peace agreement?
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Ethiopia has established a new caretaker administration in the Tigray region, signaling a further breakdown of the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement. Analysts suggest this move complicates regional stability as both federal and local factions continue to struggle over governance and security.

Why it matters

The collapse of the peace agreement threatens to reignite conflict in a volatile region, impacting humanitarian efforts and political stability in East Africa.

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Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst at ACLED, examines how Ethiopia's establishment of a new caretaker administration in Tigray marks a further breakdown of the Pretoria peace agreement, and what it means for the region's political stability amid renewed fighting.

Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst at ACLED, said:

"The Pretoria peace agreement, which ended the two-year war between Ethiopia's federal government and Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) in 2022, has effectively been cast aside today, following the establishment of a new federal caretaker administration in Tigray.

"The Pretoria agreement established an interim administration in Tigray on 23 March 2023 as part of the peace process but both the TPLF and the federal government have since accused one another of failing to implement it's provisions.

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