CME FedWatch: 88.8% Probability of No Rate Hike in July
CME FedWatch data indicates an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates in July. Market consensus suggests a period of high certainty regarding monetary policy, with focus shifting toward the timing of future rate cuts.
Why it matters
Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve have a profound impact on global financial markets, inflation, and borrowing costs.
CME FedWatch: 88.8% Probability of No Rate Hike in July AiCoin Release Time: Share Summary Federal Reserve news indicates an 88.8% probability of no rate hike in July, according to CME FedWatch. A 25-basis-point increase has an 11.2% probability. By September, 51.2% of traders expect no change, 44% anticipate a 25-basis-point hike, and 4.7% foresee a 50-basis-point increase. Interest rate developments remain critical for market positioning. According to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 11.2%. By September, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 51.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 44%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 4.7%.
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