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Times of India·4 min read·medium

Billions wiped out in IBM's worst fall in 115 yrs, but CEO has message for Wall Street

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Billions wiped out in IBM's worst fall in 115 yrs, but CEO has message for Wall Street
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IBM experienced its largest single-day market value drop in history following a warning from CEO Arvind Krishna about declining mainframe sales. Krishna attributes the slump to customers prioritizing hardware investments for AI infrastructure over software deals, which he expects to recover.

Why it matters

It illustrates how the massive capital expenditure shift toward AI hardware is impacting traditional enterprise software and legacy business models.

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IBM lost more than a quarter of its market value in a single trading session on July 14, the sharpest one-day fall in the 115-year-old company's history. The trigger was an unusual pre-announcement—a letter from CEO Arvind Krishna warning investors that the quarter had gone worse than planned, with mainframe sales collapsing 42 percent and the software attached to those machines going down with them. Wall Street read it as the AI boom finally coming for Big Blue's oldest business.Krishna reads it differently. On the July 22 earnings call and in an interview afterwards, he made the same argument repeatedly: customers didn't walk away from IBM software, they just spent their money somewhere else first. Servers, storage and memory prices are climbing 15 to 30 percent as the AI infrastructure race eats the silicon supply chain, and enterprise buyers rushed to lock in hardware before it got worse.

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