Around 1200 BCE, civilisations fell. Climate clues may explain why
New research published in Science Advances suggests that prolonged drought was a primary driver in the collapse of several Bronze Age civilizations around 1200 BCE. By reconstructing ancient climate data, scientists found that sustained rainfall declines severely impacted agricultural stability.
Why it matters
Understanding the role of climate change in historical societal collapses provides critical context for how modern civilizations might respond to current environmental pressures.
Around 1200 BCE, several of the eastern Mediterranean's most powerful civilisations, including the Mycenaean kingdoms, the Hittite Empire, Canaanite city-states and parts of New Kingdom Egypt, began experiencing a period of dramatic decline. Historians have long debated whether warfare, invasions, earthquakes, internal unrest or climate change played the biggest role in this Bronze Age collapse. Now, a new study published in Science Advances has reconstructed regional climate conditions during this pivotal period finding that prolonged drought likely placed severe pressure on societies already facing multiple challenges.Using climate simulations alongside geological and paleoclimate records, the researchers reconstructed rainfall patterns across the eastern Mediterranean between roughly 1500 and 1100 BCE. Their findings suggest that a sustained decline in rainfall around the end of the Late Bronze Age would have significantly affected agriculture, food security and political stability across the region.
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