Alaska Republican's sunny reelection prospects dimmed by tough odds

Alaska Senator Dan Sullivan faces a challenging reelection bid due to a nonpartisan primary system and the presence of a namesake opponent who may be splitting the vote. The incumbent has accused political opponents of orchestrating the confusion, while his challenger Mary Peltola denies involvement.
Why it matters
The race highlights the complexities of ranked-choice or nonpartisan primary systems and the potential for 'spoiler' candidates to impact high-stakes US Senate elections.
Sen. Dan Sullivan, the Alaska Republican running for reelection, has entered the reliably red state's nonpartisan primary election with unexpectedly challenging odds. He began his campaign for a third term early into the Trump administration, when the GOP's favorability began falling among Americans but was still seen as high enough to protect some Republicans from angry Democratic midterm voters. Sullivan, who won his last election by nearly 13 points, would face typical cyclical challenges in the midterms but could keep his seat by a comfortable margin, many political pundits thought. As the Tuesday primary unfolds, however, the incumbent faces the possibility of ceding in November to Mary Peltola, the former Democratic congresswoman, thanks to a Republican opponent sharing his name. Dan J. Sullivan , an ex-teacher, is running what GOP leaders say is a campaign to confuse voters and boost Peltola, although he denies any wrongdoing.
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