A sharp fall in gas supplies in 2028 threatens South Africa’s economy: how to manage the fallout

South Africa faces a significant economic threat as natural gas supplies from Mozambique's Pande and Temane fields are expected to decline sharply after 2028. This 'gas cliff' poses risks to the country's industrial sector, particularly for Sasol's synthetic fuel and chemical production operations.
Why it matters
Natural gas is a strategic resource for South Africa's energy mix and industrial output, and a supply shortage could destabilize key manufacturing sectors.
South Africa’s Durban harbour could play a role in imports of LNG. Planet Labs via Wikimedia Commons A sharp fall in gas supplies in 2028 threatens South Africa’s economy: how to manage the fallout Published: July 21, 2026 10:28am EDT https://theconversation.com/a-sharp-fall-in-gas-supplies-in-2028-threatens-south-africas-economy-how-to-manage-the-fallout-286861 https://theconversation.com/a-sharp-fall-in-gas-supplies-in-2028-threatens-south-africas-economy-how-to-manage-the-fallout-286861 Link copied Share article Share article
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South Africans are getting used to the term “ gas cliff ” as pressure ramps up for action to be taken ahead of expected gas shortages. Natural gas supplies from Mozambique’s Pande and Temane fields will begin to fall after 2028 as their production declines. The fields have supplied roughly 90% of South Africa’s gas for more than two decades . Mechanical engineer and lecturer Davies Tsikayi sets out why the looming supply shortage poses serious risks for the country.
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