Wired·4 min read·medium

A Prediction Market About the Past? Sure, Why Not!

K
Kate Knibbs
A Prediction Market About the Past? Sure, Why Not!
✦AI Summary

A new startup called Verifact Markets has launched a prediction market platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of past events rather than future ones. The platform aims to settle public debates on controversial topics by incentivizing participants to verify historical facts.

Why it matters

This represents a novel application of prediction market technology, potentially changing how public discourse and fact-checking are incentivized in the digital age.

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Verifact Markets, a new startup that bills itself as a “prediction market for disputed facts,” is betting that people will be eager to weigh in on questions like these. The company’s premise is so quirky it sounds like something a couple of philosophy and economics majors dreamed after too many bong rips in their dorm room: Instead of wagering on the future, why not trade on stuff that already happened?

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