2027: If you sample 1,000 Nigerians, 900 won’t vote for Tinubu - Henry Shield
Political analyst Henry Shield claims that a majority of Nigerians would not vote for President Bola Tinubu if an election were held today. He bases this assertion on his own informal surveys and challenges media outlets to conduct independent polling to verify his findings.
Why it matters
Public perception of the current administration's popularity is a critical indicator of political stability and potential electoral outcomes in Nigeria's upcoming 2027 presidential race.
Layer 1 Political analyst, Henry Shield, has claimed that President Bola Tinubu may struggle to replicate the number of votes he secured in the 2023 presidential election, predicting that a majority of Nigerians would not vote for the president if an opinion survey were conducted.
Shield made the claim during an interview on Vanguard’s Politics Hub , where he was asked to provide evidence for his assertion that Tinubu would not secure as many votes in 2027 as he did in the 2023 election.
According to him, his prediction was based on what he described as consultations, surveys and interactions with Nigerians across different segments of society.
“We do market consultation, market surveys, we do street surveys. We go out and we engage with the people, and I can tell you, sample 1,000 Nigerians, 900 of them are not going to vote for Tinubu,” Shield said.
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